There are plenty of juicy teaser options for Week 16. With the regular season nearing its end, there are plenty of matchups that provide value due to playoff implications. Here are some teaser options for the NFL this week.
As a reminder, here are some general guidelines to follow if you’re betting on NFL teasers to keep your risk in check.
Stick to the six-point teasers (you need to win more consistently to make up for the higher price).
Keep it to a two-team teaser (the more pieces you add, the higher the risk).
Aim for games with a lower total (the higher the points expected, the higher the variance involved).
Discover the key numbers three and seven (this approach is at the heart of all proven winning strategies).
Week 16 teaser options in progress
Jaguar +8.5 to the Jets, 36
Bills -2.5 to Bears, 39.5
Panthers +8.5 vs. Lions, 44
Raiders +8.5 to Steelers, 37.5
Rams +8.5 vs. Broncos, 36.5
Buccaneers -1.5 to Cardinals, 40.5
Unconventional option of week 16
Saints +9 to Browns, 32.5 (+3 for the price of -120)
Typically, to reduce your risk, you should take the +3 as a solo bet. However, since the price indicates that the line could move from +3 to +2.5, it makes sense to tease a better number.
Week 16 NFL Teaser To Bet: Raiders +8.5/Saints +9
With so many low totals on the board this week, just about any leg is an intriguing option. Raiders quarterback Derek Carr had three straight games completing less than 55% of his passes. However, Carr has five touchdown passes in that span. While he has faced such quarterbacks as Andy Dalton, Matt Ryan, Marcus Mariota, Tyler Huntley and Sam Darnold, Pittsburgh’s defense is still 30th in the league in touchdown rate allowed by opposing passers.
Against Joe Burrow, the Steelers allowed 9.1 yards per pass attempt and four touchdown passes. The weather could come into play with wind as a factor, which could even the playing field. Josh Jacobs was a running machine for the Raiders, gaining at least 93 yards in five straight games and 109 against solid Broncos defense.
Extreme winds are expected in the Saints-Browns game, which is why the total is at 32.5, the lowest total since Week 8 of the 2007 season. Support the Saints because of the defense. Over the past four weeks, the Saints have allowed the fewest rushing yards per game in the league. In the last three games, New Orleans has allowed no more than 18 points per game, giving up 12 total touchdowns since week 7. The Browns offense is not efficient with Deshaun Watson behind the center. As of Week 9, the Browns are 29th in points per drive and with Watson are 31st in drives to get a first down or touchdown. In two of his three games, Watson threw for 160 yards or less with two interceptions and six sacks. The Saints defense has a great opportunity to capitalize against a Browns offense that slipped with Watson leaving.