The USMNT are nearly 5 to 1 underdogs to beat England

The second round of the group stage of the 2022 World Cup begins on Friday. Have you heard that the USMNT is playing?

Of course you did. The US are a significant underdog for England after the Three Lions demolish Iran to open up their World Cup campaign. A loss would likely doom the United States’ chances of advance. A result is imperative. Can they get it?

Here are the odds for Friday’s matches courtesy of BetMGM.

Group A standings

1. Netherlands, 3 points

2. Ecuador, 3 points

3. Senegal, 0 points

4. Qatar, 0 points

Odds of winning Group A

  • Netherlands (-500)

  • Ecuador (+333)

  • Senegal (+1600)

  • Qatari (+8000)

Odds of finishing in the top 2 in Group A

  • Netherlands (-5000)

  • Ecuador to win (-250)

  • Victory of Senegal (+145)

  • Qatar wins (+1800)

qatar vs. Senegal (over/under 2.5 goals)

8:00am ET Friday, FS1

  • Qatari (+500)

  • Senegal (-160)

  • Draw (+260)

It’s hard to have a lot of confidence in Qatar after what we saw on Sunday. Ecuador dominated the match and deserved the win. Senegal are already without Sadio Mane and look set to do without midfielder Cheikhou Kouyate. He is an important part of the Senegal midfield. But even without Mane and Kouyate, Senegal should have enough to knock the Qataris out of round of 16 contention and set up a vital match with Ecuador on Tuesday.

Holland vs. Ecuador (2.5)

11am ET Friday, Fox

It took the Dutch more than 80 minutes to score a goal against Senegal and then added a second for good measure. Given the way the first round of group matches unfolded, both of these teams could be content to play all the way to a draw and remain tied for first and in control of their paths to the knockout stages. We’ll go with the draw. But if you’re feeling bold, a draw and under parlay might be worth the risk.

Group B standings

1. England, 3 points

2. United States, 1 point

2. Wales, 1 point

4. Iran, 0 points

Odds of winning Group B

  • England (-650)

  • United States (+700)

  • Wales (+850)

  • Iran (+12500)

Odds of finishing in the top 2 in Group B

  • England (-5000)

  • United States (-125)

  • Wales (+120)

  • Iran (+550)

Wales vs Iran (2.5)

5 a.m. ET Friday, FS1

  • Wales to win (+110)

  • Iran Wins (+280)

  • Draw (+210)

This line seems to reflect a relative lack of faith in Wales’ ability to bring down Iran as England did. We are fascinated to see if Kieffer Moore starts the match for Wales, and the Welshman will likely control possession in this game. What can they do to bring down Iran? And what is the best result for the United States? You can argue that it’s a draw or it’s a win for Iran. The under is the heavily favored side here at -200 and we are inclined to go with it.

England vs USA (2.5)

2 p.m. ET Friday, Fox

Bet this game with your head, not your heart. England are deserved favorites at -175 after their performance against Iran. If you want to bet on the United States, we recommend placing a combined bet on a United States to win and a draw at +135. Keep in mind that a draw is a great result for the USMNT, especially if Wales don’t beat Iran. As you can see from the odds, England is the safer bet here and would effectively end the United States’ chances of advancement. If you want to be optimistic, hedge with that combination bet rather than going with an outcome.

Players of the United States line up before the Group B match between the United States and Wales at the 2022 FIFA World Cup at Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium in Al Rayyan, Qatar, Nov. 21, 2022. (Photo by Zheng Huansong/Xinhua via Getty Images)

U.S. players line up before their Group B match against Wales at the 2022 FIFA World Cup at Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium in Al Rayyan, Qatar, Nov. 21, 2022. (Photo by Zheng Huansong/Xinhua via Getty Images)

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