Betting on Colts vs. Chargers, predictions, predictions, position in the NFL Draft

The Indianapolis Colts have a new quarterback for their Week 16 “Monday Night Football” home game against the Los Angeles Chargers, and they are out of the picture for the AFC playoffs.

That leaves the 2023 NFL Draft position. The Colts (4-9-1) are in fifth place going into the weekend. Ahead of them: Texans (2-12-1), Bears (3-12), Broncos (picked to Seahawks, 4-11) and Cardinals (4-11).

The Chargers are a 4.5-point favorite over the Colts in the Draft Kings. The over/under is 46 points overall.

Emerging Player:From 4 schools to NFL kick returns – Dallis Flowers provides a spark

The Colts are 6-8 against the spread. 5 Colts games have been successful, including the last 3, and 9 have been blowouts.

Magazines are 8-5-1 ATS; they had a push last weekend against the Titans. 5 Chargers games have gone over, 8 down, and 1 has been a push. The last 3 games have gone under.

FiveThirtyEight gives the Colts a 56% chance of winning, while ESPN matchup predictor gives the Chargers a 67.7% chance.

Here are the choices.

The Colts are coming off a loss in which they blew a 33-point lead, the kind of loss that can send a team packing for the year. They will also be without running back Jonathan Taylor. The Chargers beat the Titans last week, but they didn’t play well in the process. They will come here. Justin Herbert plays big to keep the Chargers on their way to the playoffs.

At one point, quarterback Justin Herbert will separate a defense that allowed Kirk Cousins ​​to throw four touchdowns in the second half of last week’s historic game. The Chargers take cover from an unfortunate team of Colts.

The Colts blew a 33-point lead last week and returned to the primetime spotlight under interim head coach Jeff Saturday. Indianapolis is 3-2 ATS down on Saturday, but the two losses were at home. The Chargers are warming up to healthy receivers Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, who have averaged 170.5 receiving yards over the past two weeks.

The Colts continue to play hard for Jeff Saturday, until he gives up 32 straight points. That shouldn’t happen Monday night against a Chargers team struggling to keep Justin Herbert up, but LA won’t need that many points. With Derwin James likely to rejoin an improving Bolts defense, it’s hard to imagine the Colts scoring many touchdowns without Jonathan Taylor. (Although Nick Foles proves to be an upgrade at quarterback.)

Nick Foles gets the chance to help Jeff Saturday secure a job he proves every week that he’s really not ready to keep.

The Chargers scored a touchdown in the first three quarters against Tennessee last week. The game was tied at 14 with under a minute left before Justin Herbert engineered a game-winning drive. I’m still all-in on Herbert and this team is well positioned to enter the postseason. But I don’t trust them to cover this number.

Yes, the Chargers have quarterback Justin Herbert, and he has kept them alive in countless games they otherwise should have been out of. Despite his generational flair, the Chargers are still only the 24th best offense according to DVOA. Their offensive line has a hard time blocking and their rushing average musters only 3.7 yards, worse than all teams except Tampa Bay. Yes, the Colts have put their star player, running back Jonathan Taylor, on injured reserve. And yes, they are coming off the worst slump of any team in NFL history. But the Colts almost have a top 10 defense and are getting runs at home. This is a more difficult point for shippers than it might seem.

Can Nick Foles spark the Colts? The QB change can’t hurt. And wouldn’t it be right for the Chargers to blow this game? I take the points.

This article originally appeared in Indianapolis Star: Colts vs. Chargers Betting Odds, Predictions, Predictions, NFL Draft Position

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *