Editor’s note: Players listed below are NFL players who have been drafted to virtually every Yahoo Fantasy league. That said, this column is not an endorsement to bench them in Week 16. You are in control of your roster; each size and shape of the alloy is different. What we are trying to explain is this expectations should be lowered this week than usual for some of the biggest names in the NFL. In addition to reviewing this week’s matchups, this can also serve as a reminder not to overreact if one of your draft picks disappoint in Week 16.
Mixon still sees the job as a receiver but is losing more leads Samaje Perine, who has probably played better this season (for what it’s worth, Mixon ranks 40th in yards created per touch while Perine is 13th). Mixon has scored all six of his rushing touchdowns this season at home, where his average yards from scrimmage (125.4) is also nearly doubled (64.6) than on the road. New England has allowed the fewest rushing yards per home game, the second fewest fantasy points to running backs, and an NFL low six rushing scores this year. Mixon was in the top five RBs just one week all season, and it’s safe to expect a finish outside the top 15 in a tough New England matchup.
Brian Robinson to the San Francisco 49ers
Robinson has a bright future, but he played just 36% of Washington’s snaps last week and could once again find himself in a bad script as a touchdown underdog in San Francisco. The rookie has 3.7 YPC on the road this season and faces a 49ers defense that allows an NFL-low 3.4 YPC and the fewest fantasy points by running backs. In fact, no RB ran 60 yards against them this season, which is especially bad news for a fullback like Robinson who has just 10 goals on the year. San Francisco has given up just one touchdown to a running back since Week 7 and opponents have by far the lowest run rate (29%) when playing at Levi’s Stadium this season.
robinson – e Terry McLaurin — should be considered bench candidates this week against the best defense in the league.
Kamara is averaging 121.9 yards from scrimmage at home this season, but only 59.4 on the road (with zero touchdowns and a 3.5 YPC rating). After entering 2022 with just two missed attempts during his career, Kamara has lost more (four) this season than he has scored touchdowns (three). It was a bad year for Kamara made worse by a minor role, as he hasn’t seen a carry inside the five-yard line since Week 8 (only two all season) and somehow ran fewer paths than David Johnson last week. Kamara gets a Browns defense that allows the most EPA/rushes but in a matchup with extreme weather and a historically low total of 32.5 points. Taysom Hill he’s become a bigger part of New Orleans’ rushing offense recently as Kamara’s goals have also declined. Not an ideal setup during the fantasy playoffs.
FADE INTO DFS
Joe Burrow ($35) @ New England Patriots
Burrow would be an easy top-five pick if starting an NFL franchise, but his YPA has dropped from 8.6 at home to 7.0 on the road over his career, and he gets a tough fight in New England this week. The Patriots defense has allowed the fewest yards per game (4.5) at home this season and ranks in the top three in rushing rates and sacks recorded (48). New England has given up on a pair of big fantasy displays from rushing quarterbacks this year, but the Pats have shut down pocket passers. The game’s script could also be an issue, as Burrow may not need to throw much into a match with a wrestler MacJones against a rush Bengali Defence. Pay the extra $2 for Patrick Mahomessalary instead.